November 16, 2016
Steve Sailer on the “Sailer Strategy” that helped win it for Trump
Steve Sailer writes about his 2000 idea — forget Mexicans and win back the white working class vote — that was finally put into action:
But my arithmetic was terribly out of fashion in the GOP for most of the 21st century. After all, working-class Americans in the North were the traditional enemy. It was much more appealing to Republican strategists to fantasize about bribing Latino newcomers by letting in more of their relatives than to work out a modus vivendi among white-collar and blue-collar Americans.
So the GOP establishment invested immensely in their strategy of converting Hispanics into home-owning Republicans. George W. Bush’s 2002–04 push for Minority Homeownership by signaling to subprime lenders that federal regulators would no longer harass them about traditional mortgage credit standards such as down payments and documentation set off the housing bubble in the Sand States of California, Arizona, Nevada, and Florida.
This boosted Bush to a mere 58–40 loss among Hispanics in 2004.
But when the Bush bubble burst in 2008, taking the world economy down with it, Hispanics, who defaulted disproportionately on mortgages, turned against John McCain 67–31, even though he had cosponsored the failed 2006 amnesty bill with Ted Kennedy.