Steve Sailer writes that the GOP strategy of “Hispandering” has bombed…
The fundamental problem for the Republicans, however, is that their policies haven’t been creating more Republican-type voters. Instead, the two parties have mutually presided over programs making the electorate more marginal and more resentful of the Mitt Romney-like Republican types, which is good for Democratic presidential candidates (if nobody else). (…)
Let’s review why Trump’s rise has so surprised the professionals.
American elections had become highly predictable exercises in demographic identity politics. As the late Lee Kwan Yew of Singapore once said:
In multiracial societies, you don’t vote in accordance with your economic interests and social interests, you vote in accordance with race and religion.
Since identity changes only in slow, predictable patterns, elections have been relatively easy to forecast. Nothing ever changes (until it does).